Factors associated with adverse outcomes in hospitalized older adult patients with COVID-19

Authors

  • Ph. Tenchev ¹Department of Infectious Diseases, Parasitology and Tropical Medicine, Medical University – Sofia ²University Multi-Profile Hospital for Active Treatment of Infectious and Parasitic Diseases “Prof. Ivan Kirov”, Sofia Author
  • Tr. Valkov ¹Department of Infectious Diseases, Parasitology and Tropical Medicine, Medical University – Sofia ²University Multi-Profile Hospital for Active Treatment of Infectious and Parasitic Diseases “Prof. Ivan Kirov”, Sofia Author
  • J. Hristova Department of Clinical Laboratory, University Hospital “Alexandrovska”, Medical University – Sofia Author
  • E. Naseva Department of Health Management and Health Economics, Faculty of Public Health “Prof. Tzecomir Vodenitcharov, MD, DSc”, Medical University – Sofia Author
  • N. Yancheva-Petrova ¹Department of Infectious Diseases, Parasitology and Tropical Medicine, Medical University – Sofia ²University Multi-Profile Hospital for Active Treatment of Infectious and Parasitic Diseases “Prof. Ivan Kirov”, Sofia Author

Keywords:

COVID-19, older patients, prognosis, biomarkers, urea, D-dimer, serum amyloid A, mortality

Abstract

Introduction: Older patients with COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease 2019) are at increased risk of adverse outcome. The aim of this study was to evaluate clinical and laboratory factors associated with prognosis in hospitalized patients aged ≥ 49 years. Materials and Methods: A retrospective study was conducted among 93 patients with confirmed COVID-19. Demographic data, symptoms at admission, laboratory parameters, serum amyloid A (SAA), and hospital outcome (improvement or severe outcome) were analyzed. The Mann–Whitney U test, Fisher’s exact test, and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis were used. Results: The patients’ age was a factor associated with the results – a significant number of patients with adverse outcome were older patients (p = 0.008), while the patients’sex was not a significantly associated factor (p = 0.999). No statistically significant relationships were found for clinical symptoms, while dyspnea showed borderline significance (p = 0.059). Significant laboratory differences were established for hematocrit (p = 0.028), urea (p=0.001), creatinine (p = 0.001), and D-dimer (p = 0.011). Categorized SAA was not significantly associated with outcome (p = 0.393). ROC analysis showed very good prognostic value of urea (AUC = 0.949) and good value of D-dimer (AUC = 0.838) for predicting adverse outcome (fatal outcome). Conclusion: Advanced age, lower hematocrit, and increased levels of urea, creatinine, and D-dimer were associated with adverse outcome in older patients with COVID-19. Urea and D-dimer may be useful markers for early risk stratification.

References

Castro-Arellano SB, Sandoval-Mosqueda LE, Flores-Murrieta FJ. Índice de saturación y fracción inspirada de oxígeno en COVID-19 [Saturation index and fraction of inspired oxygen as a predictor in COVID-19]. Rev Med Inst Mex Seguro Soc. 2023;61(Suppl 3):S416-S421. doi:10.5281/zenodo.8319752.

Wan R, Tan Z, Huang Y. Infectious biomarkers upon admission predict in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients with and without chronic heart failure. Front Cell Infect Microbiol. 2025;15:1577214. doi:10.3389/fcimb.2025.1577214.

Lippi G, Plebani M. Laboratory abnormalities in patients with COVID-2019 infection. Clin Chem Lab Med. 2020;58(7):1131-1134. doi:10.1515/cclm-2020-0198.

Yao Y, Cao J, Wang Q, et al. D-dimer as a biomarker for disease severity and mortality in COVID-19 patients: a case control study. J Intensive Care. 2020;8:49. doi:10.1186/s40560-020-00466-z.

Wolff D, Nee S, Hickey NS, et al. Risk factors for Covid-19 severity and fatality: a structured literature review. Infection. 2021;49(1):15-28. doi:10.1007/s15010-020-01509-1.

Van Paassen J, Vos JS, Hoekstra EM, et al. Corticosteroid use in COVID-19 patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis on clinical outcomes. Crit Care. 2020;24(1):696. doi:10.1186/s13054-020-03400-9.

Safiabadi Tali SH, LeBlanc JJ, Sadiq Z, et al. Tools and Techniques for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)/COVID-19 Detection. Clin Microbiol Rev. 2021;34(3):e00228-20. doi:10.1128/CMR.00228-20.

Struyf T, Deeks JJ, Dinnes J, et al. Signs and symptoms to determine if a patient presenting in primary care or hospital outpatient settings has COVID-19 disease. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020;7(7):CD013665. doi:10.1002/14651858. CD013665.

Hojo M, Terada-Hirashima J, Sugiyama H. COVID-19 and bronchial asthma: current perspectives. Glob Health Med. 2021;3(2):67-72. doi:10.35772/ghm.2020.01117.

Halpin DMG, Vogelmeier CF, Agusti A. COVID-19 and COPD: lessons beyond the pandemic. Am J Physiol Lung Cell Mol Physiol. 2021;321(5):L978-L982. doi:10.1152/ajplung.00386.2021.

Dumache R, Muresan CO, Laitin SMD, et al. COVID-19 Organ Injury Pathology and D-Dimer Expression Patterns: A Retrospective Analysis. Diagnostics. 2025;15:1860. doi:10.3390/ diagnostics15151860.

Yin J, Wang Y, Jiang H, et al. Blood urea nitrogen and clinical prognosis in patients with COVID-19: A retrospective study. Medicine (Baltimore). 2024;103(8):e37299. doi:10.1097/ MD.0000000000037299.

Yin J, Wang Y, Jiang H, et al. Blood urea nitrogen and clinical prognosis in patients with COVID-19: A retrospective study. Medicine (Baltimore). 2024;103(8):e37299. doi:10.1097/ MD.0000000000037299.

Wang L, Yang LM, Pei SF, et al. CRP, SAA, LDH, and DD predict poor prognosis of coronavirus disease (COVID-19): a meta-analysis from 7739 patients. Scand J Clin Lab Invest. 2021;81(8):679-686. doi:10.1080/00365513.2021.2000635.

Filev R, Lyubomirova M, Bogov B, et al. IL-6 and SAA-Strong Predictors for the Outcome in COVID-19 CKD Patients. Int J Mol Sci. 2024;25(1):311. doi:10.3390/ijms25010311.

Li Y, Xiaojing H, Zhuanyun L, et al. Prognostic value of serum amyloid A in COVID-19: A meta-analysis. Medicine (Baltimore). 2022;101(7):e28880. doi:10.1097/MD.0000000000028880.

Downloads

Published

03.09.2026

Issue

Section

Original articles

How to Cite

Tenchev, P., Valkov, T., Hristova, J., Naseva, E., & Yancheva-Petrova, N. (2026). Factors associated with adverse outcomes in hospitalized older adult patients with COVID-19. Medical Review, 62(5), 27-34. https://journals.mu-sofia.bg/index.php/mr/article/view/1133

Similar Articles

1-10 of 14

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.